While the 2025 NFL regular season is still several weeks away, now is the time to start preparing for redraft leagues. Many factors go into fantasy football players winning their redraft league every year. However, the top factor is arguably avoiding players that will bust or are overpriced.
Let’s look at six players who are overpriced draft values based on My Fantasy League ADP for redraft leagues.
Overvalued Fantasy Football Players to Avoid on MFL
Kyler Murray (ARI) – QB6
Last year, Murray finished as the QB10, averaging 17.5 fantasy points per game. Unfortunately, it was the lowest fantasy points per game average of his career. More importantly, the Cardinals did next to nothing to improve their offense this offseason. They didn’t add any big-name players in free agency and spent only a sixth-round pick in the NFL Draft on offense. While he is still a solid QB1 for fantasy players, drafting Murray as a top-six quarterback ahead of Baker Mayfield and Bo Nix is a massive mistake.
Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) – RB1
Fantasy players should have no problem drafting Gibbs as a top-six pick and top-four running back. However, he shouldn’t be the RB1 and drafted ahead of Bijan Robinson. Last year, Gibbs was the RB3 over the first 15 weeks with David Montgomery playing, averaging 16.1 touches and 18.9 PPR fantasy points per game. By comparison, the superstar was the RB1 during the three weeks without the veteran, averaging 25.7 touches and 32.6 fantasy points per contest. Furthermore, the Lions lost Ben Johnson and Pro Bowl center Frank Ragnow this offseason.
Rachaad White (TB) – RB33
Tampa Bay had one of the more fantasy-friendly offenses in the NFL last season. White was the RB22 in 2024, averaging 12.5 PPR fantasy points per game. Unfortunately, his role on offense disappeared towards the end of the season. After averaging 13.7 touches per game over the first 15 weeks, White averaged five touches per contest over the final three regular-season games and lone playoff matchup. By comparison, Bucky Irving had at least 19 touches in all four of those games. White doesn’t belong in the RB3 range.
Tyreek Hill (MIA) – WR12
Unfortunately, Hill was a fantasy bust in 2024, finishing as the WR18, averaging 12.8 PPR fantasy points per game. Furthermore, his fantasy success was drastically tied to Tua Tagovailoa’s health. He averaged six targets and 8.6 fantasy points per game in the seven contests Tagovailoa didn’t play or left early. By comparison, Hill averaged 8.1 targets and 15.8 fantasy points per game in the 10 contests Tagovailoa finished. Yet, his 15.8 fantasy points per contest average would have only made him the WR14 on a points-per-game basis last year.
Jerry Jeudy (CLE) – WR17
While Jeudy is coming off the best season of his career, fantasy players should temper their expectations for the veteran in 2025. Last year, he was outstanding with Jameis Winston but struggled with every other quarterback. The veteran averaged 9.9 targets and 21.1 PPR fantasy points per game in the seven contests with Winston starting. By comparison, Jeudy averaged 7.6 targets and 9.3 fantasy points per game with every other quarterback. Unfortunately, Winston is in New York, and Cleveland has one of the worst quarterback units in the NFL.
Kyle Pitts (ATL) – TE17
It’s time for fantasy players to give up on Pitts. Last year, he was the TE15, averaging 7.7 PPR fantasy points per game, despite having four receiving touchdowns, a career-high. Pitts had 13 fewer targets than Ray-Ray McCloud (87 vs. 74). Furthermore, his 17% target per route run rate ranked 26th out of 31 tight ends with at least 50 targets last season (per Fantasy Points Data). More importantly, Pitts had a lower target per route run rate (13%) than Charlie Woerner (16%) during Michael Penix Jr.’s three starts.
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Mike Fanelli is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @Mike_NFL2.
