Tuesday, July 22, 2025
HomeSPORT3 Overvalued Picks to Avoid (2025 Fantasy Football)

3 Overvalued Picks to Avoid (2025 Fantasy Football)


While the 2025 NFL regular season is still several weeks away, now is the time to start preparing for redraft leagues. Many factors go into fantasy football players winning their redraft league every year. However, the top factor is arguably avoiding players that will bust or are overpriced.

Let’s look at players who are overpriced draft values based on My Fantasy League ADP for redraft leagues.

2025 Fantasy Football Draft Kit

Overvalued Fantasy Football Players to Avoid on MFL

Kyler Murray (ARI) – QB6

Last year, Murray finished as the QB10, averaging 17.5 fantasy points per game. Unfortunately, it was the lowest fantasy points per game average of his career. More importantly, the Cardinals did next to nothing to improve their offense this offseason. They didn’t add any big-name players in free agency and spent only a sixth-round pick in the NFL Draft on offense. While he is still a solid QB1 for fantasy players, drafting Murray as a top-six quarterback ahead of Baker Mayfield and Bo Nix is a massive mistake.

Tyreek Hill (MIA) – WR12

Unfortunately, Hill was a fantasy bust in 2024, finishing as the WR18, averaging 12.8 PPR fantasy points per game. Furthermore, his fantasy success was drastically tied to Tua Tagovailoa’s health. He averaged six targets and 8.6 fantasy points per game in the seven contests Tagovailoa didn’t play or left early. By comparison, Hill averaged 8.1 targets and 15.8 fantasy points per game in the 10 contests Tagovailoa finished. Yet, his 15.8 fantasy points per contest average would have only made him the WR14 on a points-per-game basis last year.

Jerry Jeudy (CLE) – WR17

While Jeudy is coming off the best season of his career, fantasy players should temper their expectations for the veteran in 2025. Last year, he was outstanding with Jameis Winston but struggled with every other quarterback. The veteran averaged 9.9 targets and 21.1 PPR fantasy points per game in the seven contests with Winston starting. By comparison, Jeudy averaged 7.6 targets and 9.3 fantasy points per game with every other quarterback. Unfortunately, Winston is in New York, and Cleveland has one of the worst quarterback units in the NFL.

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Mike Fanelli is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @Mike_NFL2.



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