While the 2025 NFL regular season is still several weeks away, now is the time to start preparing for redraft leagues. Many factors go into fantasy football players winning their redraft league every year. However, the top factor is arguably avoiding players that will bust or are overpriced.
Let’s look at six players who are overpriced draft values based on CBS ADP for redraft leagues.
Overvalued Fantasy Football Players to Avoid on CBS
Bryce Young (CAR) – ADP 126.11 | QB14
The former Alabama star is a solid low-end QB2 option for fantasy players in superflex leagues. Yet, Young shouldn’t get drafted as a top-15 quarterback, especially ahead of Justin Herbert, Jared Goff, Tua Tagovailoa, and Drake Maye. Last year, he was the QB20, averaging 13.9 fantasy points and 1.1 passing touchdowns per game. Young finished last season on fire, averaging 2.3 passing touchdowns and 26.8 fantasy points per game over the final three weeks, leading to many calling him a third-year breakout. However, he faced three below-average pass defenses.
James Cook (BUF) – ADP 36.12 | RB13
Many were shocked to see Cook finish last season as the RB8, averaging 16.7 PPR fantasy points per game. Furthermore, he had 16 rushing touchdowns and two receiving scores in 2024, leading the league in rushing touchdowns. By comparison, the former Georgia star had four rushing touchdowns and five receiving scores over his first two years in the NFL. Cook’s a clear-cut touchdown regression candidate. Furthermore, the star running back and the Bills are in the middle of messy contract talks, which could lead to a training camp holdout.
Omarion Hampton (LAC) – ADP 48.51 | RB18
Fantasy players should have high hopes for Hampton’s long-term outlook in dynasty leagues. However, his redraft value is far less appealing because of the team’s backfield dynamic. While Najee Harris suffered an eye injury during a Fourth of July event, the veteran running back expects to be ready for Week 1. Therefore, Hampton won’t get an early-season start to establish himself as the team’s top running back. While the former North Carolina star is my top-ranked Chargers running back, Hampton shouldn’t get drafted as a mid-range RB2.
DJ Moore (CHI) – ADP 53.49 | WR23
While many were afraid to draft him last year after the Bears added Keenan Allen and Rome Odunze in the offseason, Moore finished as the WR16, averaging 14 PPR fantasy points per game despite playing on a dysfunctional offense. Unfortunately, he will have even more target competition in 2025 after Chicago used their top two picks in the NFL Draft on Colston Loveland and Luther Burden III. More importantly, don’t be surprised if Ben Johnson makes the Bears a run-first offense after having success with that mindset in Detroit.
George Pickens (DAL) – ADP 67.38 | WR29
Some have high hopes for Pickens after getting traded to the Cowboys. While he gets a quarterback upgrade, the veteran won’t see a high target volume because of CeeDee Lamb. More importantly, Pickens has flashed in his career but has never been a consistent contributor. He has averaged 0.37 PPR fantasy points per route run for his career, posting a 0.41 or lower average every season (per Fantasy Points Data). Jordan Addison and Calvin Ridley have a lower ADP than Pickens. Yet, both have more upside and safer floors.
Jonnu Smith (PIT) – ADP 94.97 | TE8
Smith was the TE4 last year, averaging 13.1 PPR fantasy points per game, a career-high. However, fantasy players should avoid drafting him anywhere near his current ADP. Smith will be on the wrong side of 30 when the 2025 season starts. Furthermore, players rarely have a breakout year this late in their career and maintain that level of success. More importantly, the veteran has never been a factor in Arthur Smith’s offense, averaging 3.7 targets and 7.7 fantasy points per game in three seasons with Smith as the playcaller.
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Mike Fanelli is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @Mike_NFL2.